Publications

Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave

Davis, J. T., Chinazzi, M., Perra, N., Mu, K., y Piontti, A. P., Ajelli, M., Dean, N.E., Gioannini, C., Litvinova, M., Merler, S., Rossi, L., Sun, K., Xiong, X., Halloran, M.E., Longini, I.M., Viboud, C., & Vespignani, A. (2021) Cryptic transmission of SARS-CoV-2 and the first COVID-19 wave. Nature.

Modeling of future COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, by vaccination rates and nonpharmaceutical intervention scenarios—United States, April–September 2021

Borchering, R. K., Viboud, C., Howerton, E., Smith, C. P., Truelove, S., Runge, M. C., Reich, N.G., Contamin, L., Levander, J., Salerno, J., van Panhuis, W., Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Obrecht, R.F., Asher, L., Costello, C., Kelbaugh, M., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Gallagher, M.E., Mullany, L.C., Rainwater-Lovett, K., Lemaitre, J.C., Dent, J., Grantz, K.H., Kaminsky, J., Lauer, S.A., Lee, E.C., Meredith, H.R., Perez-Saez, J., Keegan, L.T., Karlen, D., Chinazzi, M., Davis, J.T., Mu, K., Xiong, X., Pastore y Piontti, A., Vespignani, V., Srivastava, A., Porebski, P., Venkatramanan, S., Adiga, A., Lewis, B., Klahn, B., Outten, J., Schlitt, J., Corbett, P., Telionis, P.A., Wang, L., Peddireddy, A.S., Hurt, B., Chen, J., Vullikanti, A., Marathe, M., Healy, J.M., Slayton, R.B., Biggerstaff, M., Johansson, M.A., Shea, K., & Lessler, J. (2021). Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, 70(19), 719.

Spread of Zika virus in the Americas

Zhang, Q., Sun, K., Chinazzi, M., Pastore y Piontti, A., Dean, N.E., Rojas, D.P., Merler, S., Mistry, D., Poletti, P., Rossi, L., Bray, M., Halloran, M.E., Longini, I.M., & Vespignani, A. (2017). Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 114(22), E4334-E4343.


Pre-prints & working papers

The United States COVID-19 Forecast Hub dataset

Cramer, E.Y., Huang, Y., Wang, Y., Ray, E.L., Cornell, M., Bracher, J., Brennen, A., Castero Rivadeneira, A.J., Gerding, A., House, K., Jayawardena, D., Kanji, A.H., Khandelwal, A., Le, K., Niemi, J., Stark, A., Shah, A., Wattanchit, N., Zorn, M.W., & Reich, N.G., on behalf of the US COVID-19 Forecast Hub Consortium (2021). medRxiv, 2021.11.04.21265886v1.

Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination

Truelove, S., Smith, C.P., Qin, M., Mullany, L.C., Borchering, R.K., Lessler, J., Shea, K., Howerton, E., Contamin, L., Levander, J., Salerno, J., Hochheiser, H., Kinsey, M., Tallaksen, K., Wilson, S., Shin, L., Rainwater-Lovett, K., Lemaitre, J.C., Dent, J., Kaminsky, J., Lee, E.C., Perez-Saez, J., Hill, A., Karlen, D., Chinazzi, M., Davis, J.T., Mu, K., Xiong, X., Pastore y Piontti, A., Vespignani, A., Srivastava, A., Porebski, P., Venkatramanan, S., Adiga, A., Lewis, B., Klahn, B., Outten, J., Schlitt, J., Corbett, P., Telionis, P.A., Wang, L., Peddireddy, A.S., Hurt, B., Chen, J., Vullikanti, A., Marathe, A., Hoops, S., Bhattacharya, P., Machi, D., Chen, S., Paul, R., Janies, D., Thill, J-C., Galanti, M., Yamana, T., Pei, S., Shaman, J., Reich, N.G., Healy, J.M., Slayton, R.B., Biggerstaff, M., Johansson, M.A., Runge, M.C., & Viboud, C. (2021). medRxiv, 2021.08.28.21262748v2.

Evaluation of individual and ensemble probabilistic forecasts of COVID-19 mortality in the US

Cramer, E., Ray, E., Lopez, V., Bracher, J., Brennen, A., Rivadeneira, A., Gerding, A., Gneiting, T., House, K., Huang, Y., Jayawardena, D., Kanji, A., Khandelwal, A., Le, K., Mühlemann, A., Niemi, J., Shah, A., Stark, A., Wang, Y., Wattanachit, N., Zorn, M., Gu, Y., Jain, S., Bannur, N., Deva, A., Kulkarni, M., Merugu, S., Raval, A., Shingi, S., Tiwari, A., White, J., Woody, S., Dahan, M., Fox, S., Gaither, K., Lachmann, M., Meyers, L., Scott, J., Tec, M., Srivastava, A., George, G., Cegan, J., Dettwiller, I., England, W., Farthing, M., Hunter, R., Lafferty, B., Linkov, I., Mayo, M., Parno, M., Rowland, M., Trump, B., Corsetti, S., Baer, T., Eisenberg, M., Falb, K., Huang, Y., Martin, E., McCauley, E., Myers, R., Schwarz, T., Sheldon, D., Gibson, G., Yu, R., Gao, L., Ma, Y., Wu, D., Yan, X., Jin, X., Wang, Y.X., Chen, Y., Guo, L., Zhao, Y., Gu, Q., Chen, J., Wang, L., Xu, P., Zhang, W., Zou, D., Biegel, H., Lega, J., Snyder, T., Wilson, D., McConnell, S., Walraven, R., Shi, Y., Ban, X., Hong, Q.J., Kong, S., Turtle, J., Ben-Nun, M., Riley, P., Riley, S., Koyluoglu, U., DesRoches, D., Hamory, B., Kyriakides, C., Leis, H., Milliken, J., Moloney, M., Morgan, J., Ozcan, G., Schrader, C., Shakhnovich, E., Siegel, D., Spatz, R., Stiefeling, C., Wilkinson, B., Wong, A., Gao, Z., Bian, J., Cao, W., Ferres, J., Li, C., Liu, T.Y., Xie, X., Zhang, S., Zheng, S., Vespignani, A., Chinazzi, M., Davis, J.T., Mu, K., Pastore y Piontti, A., Xiong, X., Zheng, A., Baek, J., Farias, V., Georgescu, A., Levi, R., Sinha, D., Wilde, J., Penna, N., Celi, L., Sundar, S., Cavany, S., Espana, G., Moore, S., Oidtman, R., Perkins, A., Osthus, D., Castro, L., Fairchild, G., Michaud, I., Karlen, D., Lee, E., Dent, J., Grantz, K., Kaminsky, J., Kaminsky, K., Keegan, L., Lauer, S., Lemaitre, J., Lessler, J., Meredith, H., Perez-Saez, J., Shah, S., Smith, C., Truelove, S., Wills, J., Kinsey, M., Obrecht, R., Tallaksen, K., Burant, J., Wang, L., Gao, L., Gu, Z., Kim, M., Li, X., Wang, G., Wang, Y., Yu, S., Reiner, R., Barber, R., Gaikedu, E., Hay, S., Lim, S., Murray, C., Pigott, D., Prakash, B., Adhikari, B., Cui, J., Rodriguez, A., Tabassum, A., Xie, J., Keskinocak, P., Asplund, J., Baxter, A., Oruc, B., Serban, N., Arik, S., Dusenberry, M., Epshteyn, A., Kanal, E., Le, L., Li, C.L., Pfister, T., Sava, D., Sinha, R., Tsai, T., Yoder, N., Yoon, J., Zhang, L., Abbott, S., Bosse, N., Funk, S., Hellewel, J., Meakin, S., Munday, J., Sherratt, K., Zhou, M., Kalantari, R., Yamana, T., Pei, S., Shaman, J., Ayer, T., Adee, M., Chhatwal, J., Dalgic, O., Ladd, M., Linas, B., Mueller, P., Xiao, J., Li, M., Bertsimas, D., Lami, O., Soni, S., Bouardi, H., Wang, Y., Wang, Q., Xie, S., Zeng, D., Green, A., Bien, J., Hu, A., Jahja, M., Narasimhan, B., Rajanala, S., Rumack, A., Simon, N., Tibshirani, R., Tibshirani, R., Ventura, V., Wasserman, L., ODea, E., Drake, J., Pagano, R., Walker, J., Slayton, R., Johansson, M., Biggerstaff, M., & Reich, N. (2021). medRxiv, 2021.02.03.21250974.

Preliminary results of models to predict areas in the Americas with increased likelihood of Zika virus transmission in 2017

Asher, J., Barker, C., Chen, G., Cummings, D., __Chinazzi, M.__, Daniel-Wayman, S., Fischer, M., Ferguson, N., Follman, D., Halloran, M.E., Johansson, M., Kugeler, K., Kwan, J., Lessler, J., Longini, I.M., Merler, S., Monaghan, A., Pastore y Piontti, A., Perkins, A., Prevots, D.R., Reiner, R., Rossi, L., Rodriguez-Barraquer, I., Siraj, A.S., Sun, K., Vespignani, A., Zhang, Q., & ZIKAVAT Collaboration. (2017). bioRxiv 187591